Tuesday, November 26, 2013

NFL Playoff Predictions - Week 12

Methodology:
At NFL-Forecast, there is a program that uses a monte carlo simulator to simulate the remainder of the season 5,000 times. It also takes the team efficiency ratings from Advanced NFL Stats.

Division Standings:

AFC East
New England 96.18%
NY Jets 1.32%
Miami 1.30%
Buffalo 1.20%


AFC North
Cincinnati 95.40%
Pittsburgh 3.50%
Baltimore 1.08%
Cleveland 0.02%


AFC South
Indianapolis 96.90%
Tennessee 3.10%
Houston 0.00%
Jacksonville 0.00%


AFC West
Denver 89.88%
Kansas City 10.08%
San Diego 0.04%
Oakland 0.00%


NFC East
Philadelphia 65.86%
Dallas 34.04%
NY Giants 0.10%
Washington 0.00%


NFC North
Detroit 51.22%
Green Bay 32.64%
Chicago 16.14%
Minnesota 0.00%


NFC South
New Orleans 90.04%
Carolina 9.96%
Tampa Bay 0.00%
Atlanta 0.00%


NFC West
Seattke 98.74%
San Francisco 1.06%
Arizona 0.20%
St. Louis 0.00%

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